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First Quarter 2005 Client Letter
Dear
Client: First
half: All major stock indexes
closed underwater for the first half. The Dow Jones Industrial Average
(DJIA) and the S&P 500 were down 4.71% and 1.70% respectively while the
Nasdaq Composite (Small Cap Stocks) was down 5.45 %. Our
US Dimensional Funds (DFA) all-equity model portfolio (value tilt with
real estate) was up
1.16%. Most of our
all-equity portfolios have a 30% exposure to non-US stocks. This diversification was a major
factor in our relative outstanding performance during the first six months
of 2005. For example, the
International Small Co. Value portfolio had a 5.43% gain, the Emerging Markets
Large Co. portfolio had a 4.35%
gain, and Real Estate had
a 6.76% gain The results of the last six
months continue to convince us that we are on the right track. We continue our role of educating
and advising our clients about two important factors in successful
investing: use high quality
Dimensional Funds and build a diversified portfolio of several asset
classes using Modern Portfolio Theory. Good
news: The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)
remarked
last week that the “ Best
in the World: Paul Merriman, editor and
publisher of Merriman Capital Management recently wrote an article
entitled “The Best Mutual Funds in the World”. Merriman explains in his article
that for the buy & hold investor, the most important factor that
determines success is proper asset allocation. By eliminating commissions,
shaving ongoing expenses and in particular by investing in the right asset
classes, it’s not unrealistic to think an investor could increase the
long-term compound return by 2%
percent without taking more risk. The mutual funds that he
recommends above all others are Dimensional Fund Advisors (DFA). For more on this excellent
article, see www.fundadvice.com. Global
economy:
Education: It is hard to argue with the
notion that investors often price some stocks too high and others too
low. If new research is
correct, this seemingly banal truth may also explain a long-running
mystery: why
small-capitalization value stocks tend to beat large-cap growth
stocks. There is a long
record of such out performance.
Since 1926, researchers have found, the closer a stock is to the
small end of the size spectrum, the better its performance, on
average. The same is true for
stocks on the value end of the price to book ratio. So states Mark Hulbert in a New
York Times article.
His
argument is based largely on simple logic: By definition, an overvalued stock
has a larger market capitalization than would otherwise be the case. Its price-to-book ratio is also
higher, and thus it is closer to the growth end of the growth-value
spectrum. Portfolios of large
growth stocks will contain a disproportionate number of overvalued issues,
and should, on average, lag behind the overall market. The opposite is the case for
undervalued stocks. So
small-cap value portfolios should beat the market in the long term. The lesson here is that all
portfolios should contain a percentage of small-cap value funds in a
passively managed index. See
the “Equity Investment
Philosophy” on the next page. Our
Outlook: In spite of all of the current
news, our course of action remains unchanged. We believe in investing for the
long term and we will not focus on the short term climate that we are
in. Following is a representative sample, as of
June 30, 2005, of DFA funds in the asset classes covered by DFA and
currently recommended for use in our client portfolios. This is not a
complete list of all DFA funds, and your portfolio may or may not contain
all of these funds.
Notes:
Returns for more than one year are annualized. “N/A” appears where returns
data did not exist for the entire period. We hope you will find the above
information of interest, and that you will use it in the spirit it is
provided. While not meant to serve as a basis for your portfolio
assessment, results from one year or less are useful as a tool to better
understand how frequently such short-term market fluctuations occur, and
yet how unpredictable they are. Likewise, three- and five-year returns
demonstrate that different asset classes can be in or out of favor for
longer periods, but again without a reliable basis for prediction. This in
turn provides further evidence that clients should build entire portfolios
and focus on their portfolio’s total return rather than on individual
asset classes. Best
wishes for a fun-filled Summer, Coston and McIsaac Investment Advisers,
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